The 2026 AFL season is heating up, and with the home and away season drawing to a close, the race for the top six is intensifying. This week's matches promise to be thrilling, with several teams vying for a spot in the finals. Here's a breakdown of the key games and predictions for Round 21.
Collingwood vs Geelong
The Pies are on a six-game winning streak and are now a top-six contender, just two points behind an automatic finals spot. Nick Daicos is having a breakout season, breaking the record for the most coaches' votes in a single season. However, they face a tough test against Geelong, who are a complete unknown this year. The Cats have suffered three straight losses and five defeats in six matches, but they remain a serious September contender if they can secure a top-eight spot.
This match-up has been a thriller in recent years, and with both teams aiming for a finals spot, it's expected to be a close contest. The Pies' recent form and home-field advantage give them a slight edge, but the Cats' ability to bounce back from setbacks cannot be overlooked. I predict a tight game, with Collingwood winning by 7 points.
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs
Fremantle is in complete control of their game, sitting atop the ladder with 17 wins and a healthy percentage. They are on track to secure their second minor premiership, and a win this weekend could wrap it up. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are in seventh spot, just four points behind the top four. They have won three on the trot but will be without Aaron Naughton for this match.
The Dockers' home-field advantage at Optus Stadium is a significant factor, and they have been dominant at home this year. I predict a comfortable win for Fremantle by 24 points, as they continue their march towards the minor premiership.
St Kilda vs Sydney
St Kilda has a point to prove after a heart-breaking loss to Sydney 55 days ago. The Swans, on the other hand, are in a strong position to secure a home Qualifying Final. Sydney's midfield group, including Errol Gulden, Isaac Heeney, and Chad Warner, is intimidating, and they have won their last three trips to Marvel Stadium.
This match will be a tight contest, with both teams having played well in recent matches. The Swans' midfield advantage and home-field advantage give them a slight edge. I predict a close game, with Sydney winning by 4 points.
Hawthorn vs North Melbourne
Hawthorn is on a roll, having won three consecutive games by at least 10 goals. They are in a strong position to secure a top-four spot, and a win in Launceston could solidify their position. North Melbourne, on the other hand, is struggling, having lost four consecutive games.
This match-up is a mismatch on paper, with Hawthorn peaking at the right time and North Melbourne struggling. I predict a strong Hawthorn win by 31 points.
Port Adelaide vs GWS
Port Adelaide is gearing up for a crucial match against GWS, who are in a poor position with three consecutive losses. The Power has a top-six defense and is capable of locking down sides, while GWS is struggling with injuries and a depleted forward line.
I predict a Port Adelaide win by 8 points, as they look to secure a finals spot.
Carlton vs Brisbane
Carlton is flying high after a seven-game winning streak, while Brisbane is in contention to complete a three-peat. The Lions have won eight of their previous nine games against the Blues, and their rising form contrasts with Carlton's recent slide.
I predict a Brisbane win by 36 points, as they extend their winning streak to eight.
Richmond vs West Coast
Richmond is struggling, having lost eight straight games, while West Coast is on a seven-game losing streak. The Tigers have a low scoring average and concede the most points, while the Eagles have a better scoring average and concede fewer points.
This match is expected to be competitive, with Richmond having beaten the Eagles three times in a row. I predict a Richmond win by 3 points.
Gold Coast vs Melbourne
Melbourne is in a strong position to secure a top-six spot, while Gold Coast is out of the finals race. The Dees have a stacked midfield and a chance to maintain their top-six position, while the Suns are struggling with injuries and tension in the air.
I predict a Melbourne win by 14 points, as they look to secure their top-six spot.
Essendon vs Adelaide
Adelaide is in a strong position to secure a finals spot, while Essendon is clinging on to 17th spot. The Crows bring high-pressure football and have the opportunity to fix last week's mistakes. I predict a comfortable win for Adelaide by 48 points.
These predictions are based on current form, injuries, and team dynamics. With the season approaching its climax, every match will be crucial in determining the final standings and the fate of these teams in the 2026 AFL season.
